Tuesday, May 6, 2008

Politics Update

Barack Obama has been declared the winner in the North Carolina primary, and Hillary Clinton has a slight lead in the Indiana primary. The battle between these two heavyweight contenders continues, despite the Obama and Rev. Wright scandal, and despite Hillary's big deficit in pledged delegates.

But will it all matter who wins the primary? New poll data suggests that John McCain may have an easy time winning the Presidential election because of the polarity within the Democratic party. Here are the facts:

-Nearly six in ten Obama supporters in Indiana say they would be dissatisfied if Clinton were the nominee.
-In both Indiana and North Carolina, 2/3rds of Clinton supporters say they’d be dissatisfied if Obama were the nominee.
-The percentage of Clinton voters who say they’d choose McCain over Obama in a general election is approaching 40 percent in Indiana.

BTW, I recently criticized Clinton and McCain on their proposal for a "gas tax" holiday. It appears that the majority of the writers and economists agree that this is simply a foolish policy.

http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/04/30/elections-hot-air-and-gas/

http://www.observer.com/2008/bloomberg-gas-tax-break-dumbest-thing

4 comments:

Will said...

what a mess...
I don't think we can put much stock in the 'who-would-support-whom' data pre-nomination. So much of this will depend on the tenor of the convention and how graciously the loser exits. Even though my shred of hope that they'll be on the same ticket is getting shreddier by the day, I still believe the loser will campaign for the winner.

The whole gas tax holiday was clearly a PR-pandering move to begin with that should just have been a blip on the radar screen except that this damn campaign is so drawn out. Same w/ Rev. Wright. Incidentally, the latter is a 'scandal'? I might put it in the 'hub-bub' category unless I missed something.

Meeta said...

I gotta say, I'm in the camp that believes that this prolonged struggle over the democratic party nomination is going to ultimately result in another Republican president. Even if the democratic loser ends up campaigning for the winner, will we really be able to believe it? It's a sad state of affairs. If the democratic party can't get a win this year...yikes.

Meeta said...

Not sure if anyone's going to read this post, but I wasn't sure what other thread to put this on. Check out this website for a chuckle...

http://www.thingsyoungerthanmccain.com/

Dan N. said...

Hillary Clinton needs to GET OUT. Admittedly, I have always favored Obama,so I could be accused of being less than objective, but it really seems prolonging the struggle at this point is foolish at best (and disgusting at worst...). She recently said in an interview that "Senator Obama’s support among working, hardworking Americans, white Americans, is weakening again..." What?!? How can she think that invoking race at this stage of the game is OK? Hopefully her victory in W. Virginia and PR will let her step aside gracefully. Otherwise, she will go down as a power-hungry fool who has hurt not only her own party, but her own long-term political career.